Firearm Stats Straight Up – USA

As I say in most of my posts, the only purpose of this blog is to put out truth and let people do with it as they will. This does not in any way reflect my own personal feelings, other than commenting on stats, especially when I am surprised by what I find. Sometimes I have a different stance at the end of one of these, than I did at the beginning. The truth can set you free, if you let it. It takes a humble person to be able to read through truthful stats and change their stance on a subject.

Here are the major Federal Firearm Acts passed:

Congress passed the Gun Control Act of 1968.

… imposes stricter licensing and regulation on the firearms industry, establishes new categories of firearms offenses, and prohibits the sale of firearms and ammunition to felons and certain other prohibited persons. It also imposes the first Federal jurisdiction over “destructive devices,” including bombs, mines, grenades and other similar devices. Congress reorganizes ATU into the Alcohol and Tobacco Tax Division (ATTD) and delegates to them the enforcement of the Gun Control Act.

President Reagan amended it in 1986:

In 1986, this Act amended the NFA definition of “silencer” by adding combinations of parts for silencers and any part intended for use in the assembly or fabrication of a silencer. The Act also amended the GCA to prohibit the transfer or possession of machineguns. Exceptions were made for transfers of machineguns to, or possession of machineguns by, government agencies, and those lawfully possessed before the effective date of the prohibition, May 19, 1986.

The Assault Weapons Import Ban was established in 1989.

make permanent the temporary suspension on many of the imported semiautomatic rifles that ATF identified for review last March and April.

The Brady Law was passed in 1993.

a waiting period of 5 days before a licensed importer, manufacturer, or dealer may sell, deliver, or transfer a handgun to an unlicensed individual.


See all the Firearm rulings on the ATF site. And this site lays out the story of Gun Control very well.

Let’s take a look at the direct impact on murder (remember not all were by firearms, another chart worth looking at in this regard). The graph below shows the percentage of change from the previous year’s murder rate. This is not a line chart, you don’t follow the dots up and down, each dot is unrelated to the previous and following dot. Anything above 0 would indicate the percentage of increase, anything below 0 would indicate the percentage of decrease. So to be clear, between 1963 and 1964 there was an increase of a little over 5%. So although it looks like a drop, there is no correlation, other than to show the year before there was a higher increase. So again, for any year with a dot above the 0 line there was an increase.

laws vs no


  • The 1968 Gun Control Act had very little effect.
  • Creating the ATF had very little effect.
  • DC’s Anti Handgun Act has very little effect.
  • The Amendments made in 1986 seemed to have an immediate effect since the very next year there was a significant decrease, but it was quickly lost.
  • The Assault Weapon Ban and Crime Control Acts had very little impact.
  • Brady’s law made a significant and immediate impact. However, the impact seems to begin to wear off around 2001.
  • The Military style assault weapon ban expiring in 2004 did not seem to have a significant impact.
  • Instant Background Checks seem to show an immediate effect which in general has held steady showing decreases in all but one year.
  • The highest ever increase was almost 10% in 1976, this equated to 1,730 more murders than in 1975. That same year 7,877 people died of the flu.
  • The highest ever decrease was almost 10% in 1996, this equated to 1,961 less murders than in 1995. To put this into perspective, 2,147, 1-4 year olds died from Accidents and Adverse Effects that same year. A total of 61,589 people died from accidents.

Let’s do some number comparisons for criminal activity in 2016:

Guilty of immigration offense: 21,039
Guilty of drug dealing: 14,635
Guilty of violent crime: 14,535
Guilty of firearm offense: 8,218

So there were almost 3 times as many immigration offenses than firearm offenses.

States make their own firearm laws, let’s compare state to state (Firearm Crimes, Violent crimes) ranked by strictness of gun laws for 2014.  This is using a per capita number which levels the playing field counteracting the variable in the population number of each state.

firearm per capita

Observations from this chart:

  • If stricter firearm laws worked to cut down the number of firearm murders, all the states on the left would be much lower than the states to the right. This is not evidenced in the data.
  • DC has the highest firearm murders and has some of the strictest gun laws in the nation.
  • The chances of being murdered by a firearm are well below 1% no matter which state you are in. In DC the Firearm Murders/capita is .01107912. Chances of being in a car accident are .1550388. In the worse case (DC), you are 13 times more likely to be in a car accident than murdered by a firearm. In the best case (HI) you are 2,200 times more likely to be in a car accident! Think about that for just a moment or two, let it sink. Keep in mind, most people are on the road at least three times a week. Your chances of having your ID stolen are .2150538 or 19 times more likely.

Let’s look at other crimes:

laws and crime



  • Gun laws do not appear to significantly effect the crime rates.
  • You are more likely to be a victim of a violent crime, rape, robbery, or aggravated assault than you are to be murdered, especially murdered by a firearm.
  • Most violent crimes are not committed with a firearm.
  • If anything, this chart could make a case for the medium strict firearm laws because the states in the middle overall have lower crime rates.

Check this one out, because everything seems to turn political, I figured let’s just look at it right out of the gate:

firearm politics


  • The stricter firearm law states have a higher percentage of Democrats than Republican.
  • The higher number of Firearm Murders occur most often in states with a higher percentage of Democrats than Republicans.
  • The states with a higher number of Republicans than Democrats tend to have a low number of Firearm Murders.
  • There are more Firearm murder incidents in the states with stricter gun laws and more Democrats. Even for those states whose population compare to states with less strict gun laws.

Personally, I think everything here tells a clear story. Do with the knowledge as you will.


One thought on “Firearm Stats Straight Up – USA

  1. Pingback: Impact on Living: Alcohol and Guns |

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